Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 3.250226 3.436577 3.634693 3.862178 4.117679 4.397607 4.730042
2025-08-10 2.909717 3.156118 3.431348 3.765465 4.165690 4.637403 5.247871
2025-08-17 2.625483 2.897560 3.212048 3.609480 4.109365 4.734107 5.604674
2025-08-24 2.437178 2.727667 3.073002 3.524554 4.117500 4.899837 6.072389
2025-08-31 2.307918 2.614483 2.988017 3.491693 4.180219 5.138069 6.686633
2025-09-07 2.187728 2.501584 2.891416 3.430132 4.191336 5.299477 7.218951
2025-09-14 2.080960 2.397348 2.796463 3.359266 4.177026 5.415686 7.702325
2025-09-21 1.984059 2.299369 2.702102 3.279439 4.138057 5.483650 8.114573
2025-09-28 1.925899 2.247645 2.664696 3.274514 4.207707 5.734646 8.958775
2025-10-05 1.923370 2.267712 2.723832 3.410917 4.509863 6.438198 11.102315
2025-10-12 1.888692 2.242425 2.718050 3.449722 4.658245 6.895369 12.966797
2025-10-19 1.861141 2.224928 2.721378 3.501431 4.833514 7.446400 15.589135
2025-10-26 1.826636 2.200312 2.718763 3.553227 5.034885 8.156213 19.980798
2025-11-02 1.766207 2.137298 2.657371 3.506997 5.053369 8.469551 23.503729
2025-11-09 1.690586 2.050057 2.556164 3.388664 4.921490 8.385987 24.890632
2025-11-16 1.634139 1.987836 2.489280 3.322756 4.884935 8.545180 28.534919
2025-11-23 1.592502 1.944957 2.449102 3.298450 4.928089 8.938117 36.100240
2025-11-30 1.546742 1.894360 2.394698 3.245729 4.906355 9.144547 43.876737
2025-12-07 1.501569 1.843018 2.336858 3.183131 4.856631 9.256147 52.472078
2025-12-14 1.456960 1.791074 2.276009 3.111570 4.780216 9.266038 60.865652
2025-12-21 1.430907 1.765232 2.254317 3.107491 4.850112 9.788268 102.407517
2025-12-28 1.435150 1.783680 2.302201 3.231240 5.226606 11.642416 NaN
2026-01-04 1.419598 1.772112 2.301835 3.266432 5.404308 12.896586 NaN